Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 46.8% vs Gagner 47.9% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 55.4%
Defensive zone
Schenn 59.0%
Neutral zone
Schenn 58.8%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 56.8%
56.8%
43.2%
Schenn
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Schenn
Gagner
Last 5: Schenn 1-4 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
1
2
Schenn
Gagner
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
2
Schenn
Gagner
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (398)
47.6% (599)
-1.9%
Power Play
45.2% (31)
47.7% (86)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (4)
60.0% (5)
+15.0%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Schenn is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (141).
Schenn shoots left. Gagner is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (515).
Home / Away
Schenn
Gagner
Home
50.9% (226)
49.5% (331)
Away
41.0% (210)
45.9% (370)
By Period
Schenn
Gagner
P1
47.0%
47.7%
P2
45.4%
43.9%
P3
45.0%
51.8%
OT
75.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
45.6%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
46.1%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2012 | 3 | 10:50 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 23, 2012 | 2 | 15:18 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 23, 2012 | 1 | 13:37 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 23, 2012 | 1 | 10:35 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 23, 2012 | 1 | 01:42 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |