Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 48.2% vs Johnson 50.1% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 76.6%
Defensive zone
Johnson 52.9%
Neutral zone
Schenn 56.7%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 62.3%
62.3%
37.7%
Schenn
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Schenn
Johnson
Last 9: Schenn 2-7 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
3
Schenn
Johnson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
1
Schenn
Johnson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
2
3
Schenn
Johnson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (1,112)
51.8% (548)
-3.7%
Power Play
50.7% (213)
51.7% (58)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
34.7% (49)
40.7% (113)
-6.0%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Schenn is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (470).
Schenn shoots left. Johnson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (502).
Home / Away
Schenn
Johnson
Home
50.5% (709)
53.6% (371)
Away
45.4% (665)
46.3% (348)
By Period
Schenn
Johnson
P1
50.5%
50.9%
P2
47.4%
50.2%
P3
46.6%
48.9%
OT
41.7%
55.6%
Final 5 min
49.4%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.0%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2017 | 3 | 13:37 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 12, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 12, 2017 | 2 | 00:16 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 12, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 12, 2017 | 1 | 06:37 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 3 | 11:41 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 3 | 04:00 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 2 | 08:20 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 1 | 04:31 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |