Scouting Report
Brendan Gallagher holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Gallagher on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 55.3% vs right-shot opponents — Gallagher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 52.7% vs Gallagher 51.4% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gallagher 61.9%
Defensive zone
Horvat 52.2%
Neutral zone
Gallagher 57.0%
Result
Brendan Gallagher favored at 57.8%
42.2%
57.8%
Horvat
Gallagher
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Horvat
Gallagher
Last 7: Horvat 2-5 Gallagher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gallagher
0
3
Horvat
Gallagher
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Gallagher
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gallagher
1
2
Horvat
Gallagher
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Gallagher
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (955)
64.0% (25)
-13.3%
Power Play
65.3% (213)
43.8% (16)
+21.5%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (57)
0.0% (1)
+43.9%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +43.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gallagher shoots right. Horvat is 55.3% vs right-shot opponents (407).
Horvat shoots left. Gallagher is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (33).
Home / Away
Horvat
Gallagher
Home
54.1% (599)
50.0% (12)
Away
51.8% (626)
56.7% (30)
By Period
Horvat
Gallagher
P1
50.8%
33.3%
P2
50.0%
58.3%
P3
57.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
54.7%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
52.9%
Gallagher
40.0%▼
44.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2021 | 2 | 11:47 | Offensive | Brendan Gallagher |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 1 | 17:47 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 2 | 14:10 | Offensive | Brendan Gallagher |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 1 | 16:22 | Neutral | Brendan Gallagher |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 1 | 13:10 | Offensive | Brendan Gallagher |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 2 | 05:27 | Neutral | Brendan Gallagher |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 1 | 02:45 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |