Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.9% vs 56.3%). Look for Gaunce on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Gaunce wins 57.9% vs right-shot opponents — Sissons shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaunce 54.4% vs Sissons 55.3% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sissons 53.0%
Defensive zone
Sissons 64.4%
Neutral zone
Sissons 62.1%
Result
Colton Sissons favored at 58.5%
41.5%
58.5%
Gaunce
Sissons
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Gaunce
Sissons
Last 5: Gaunce 4-1 Sissons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Gaunce
Sissons
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaunce
3
0
Gaunce
Sissons
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaunce
Sissons
Edge
Even Strength
58.1% (155)
57.0% (428)
+1.1%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
58.8% (17)
-58.8%
Penalty Kill
52.0% (25)
53.0% (115)
-1.0%
On power play, Sissons has a +58.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sissons shoots right. Gaunce is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (76).
Gaunce shoots left. Sissons is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (392).
Home / Away
Gaunce
Sissons
Home
54.8% (93)
52.9% (263)
Away
59.1% (88)
59.3% (297)
By Period
Gaunce
Sissons
P1
62.3%
55.8%
P2
48.1%
57.6%
P3
59.5%
55.4%
Final 5 min
51.2%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaunce
50.0%▼
56.5%
56.9%
Sissons
60.0%▲
58.5%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 05:12 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 13:07 | Neutral | Brendan Gaunce |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 03:17 | Offensive | Brendan Gaunce |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 14:42 | Neutral | Brendan Gaunce |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 08:06 | Neutral | Brendan Gaunce |