Scouting Report
Kyle Brodziak holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Brodziak on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Gaunce wins 56.4% vs right-shot opponents — Brodziak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaunce 47.8% vs Brodziak 49.5% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaunce 51.7%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 55.2%
Neutral zone
Brodziak 52.2%
Result
Kyle Brodziak favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Gaunce
Brodziak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Gaunce
Brodziak
Last 5: Gaunce 2-3 Brodziak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
0
1
Gaunce
Brodziak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaunce
1
0
Gaunce
Brodziak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brodziak
1
2
Gaunce
Brodziak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaunce
Brodziak
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (92)
51.4% (461)
-7.9%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
28.6% (7)
-28.6%
Penalty Kill
69.2% (13)
40.9% (88)
+28.3%
On power play, Brodziak has a +28.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brodziak shoots right. Gaunce is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (39).
Gaunce shoots left. Brodziak is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (408).
Home / Away
Gaunce
Brodziak
Home
32.4% (37)
45.8% (277)
Away
52.9% (70)
53.0% (279)
By Period
Gaunce
Brodziak
P1
51.2%
50.0%
P2
46.7%
48.8%
P3
38.9%
49.7%
Final 5 min
42.9%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaunce
50.0%▼
56.5%
45.8%
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2016 | 3 | 12:15 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 25, 2016 | 3 | 05:34 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 25, 2016 | 3 | 03:08 | Defensive | Brendan Gaunce |
| Mar 25, 2016 | 2 | 13:23 | Neutral | Brendan Gaunce |
| Mar 25, 2016 | 1 | 05:51 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |