Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.9% vs 56.3%). Gaunce wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaunce 54.4% vs Frost 55.7% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 74.9%
Defensive zone
Gaunce 85.1%
Neutral zone
Gaunce 55.0%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 74.9%
25.1%
74.9%
Gaunce
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Gaunce
Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
1
Gaunce
Frost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaunce
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
58.1% (155)
54.9% (701)
+3.2%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
60.8% (166)
-60.8%
Penalty Kill
52.0% (25)
100.0% (5)
-48.0%
On power play, Frost has a +60.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Gaunce is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (105).
Gaunce shoots left. Frost is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (586).
Home / Away
Gaunce
Frost
Home
54.8% (93)
56.0% (443)
Away
59.1% (88)
56.6% (429)
By Period
Gaunce
Frost
P1
62.3%
58.9%
P2
48.1%
55.3%
P3
59.5%
54.0%
Final 5 min
51.2%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaunce
50.0%▼
56.5%
56.9%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 04:59 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |