Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaunce 51.9% vs Gaustad 57.6% (-5.6%)
Offensive zone
Gaunce 72.5%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 54.8%
Neutral zone
Gaunce 50.7%
Result
Brendan Gaunce favored at 56.2%
56.2%
43.8%
Gaunce
Gaustad
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaunce
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (894)
58.2% (4,334)
-6.5%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
65.4% (188)
-9.8%
Penalty Kill
55.4% (92)
54.8% (1,290)
+0.6%
On power play, Gaustad has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Gaunce is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (667).
Gaunce shoots left. Gaustad is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,774).
Home / Away
Gaunce
Gaustad
Home
49.9% (525)
59.5% (2,929)
Away
54.5% (470)
55.9% (2,897)
By Period
Gaunce
Gaustad
P1
53.6%
58.2%
P2
47.4%
56.4%
P3
55.0%
58.3%
Final 5 min
54.0%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaunce
50.0%▼
56.5%
52.1%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%