Scouting Report
Brendan Gaunce holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaunce on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaunce 51.9% vs Colton 51.0% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Colton 62.2%
Defensive zone
Gaunce 59.9%
Neutral zone
Colton 51.8%
Result
Brendan Gaunce favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Gaunce
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Gaunce
Colton
Last 7: Gaunce 3-4 Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Colton
0
2
Gaunce
Colton
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaunce
2
1
Gaunce
Colton
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Gaunce
Colton
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaunce
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (894)
51.6% (1,800)
+0.1%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
48.8% (162)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
55.4% (92)
34.5% (29)
+20.9%
On penalty kill, Gaunce has a +20.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Gaunce is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (667).
Gaunce shoots left. Colton is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,295).
Home / Away
Gaunce
Colton
Home
49.9% (525)
51.9% (1,013)
Away
54.5% (470)
50.2% (978)
By Period
Gaunce
Colton
P1
53.6%
53.5%
P2
47.4%
52.6%
P3
55.0%
47.9%
Final 5 min
54.0%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaunce
50.0%▼
56.5%
52.1%
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 12:15 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 11:59 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 01:56 | Neutral | Brendan Gaunce |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 01:42 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 1 | 09:22 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 3 | 19:10 | Defensive | Brendan Gaunce |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 3 | 19:01 | Defensive | Brendan Gaunce |