Scouting Report
Chris Kelly holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Morrison on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Morrison 49.7% vs Kelly 50.8% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Morrison 51.1%
Defensive zone
Morrison 52.3%
Neutral zone
Kelly 56.0%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Morrison
Kelly
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Morrison
Kelly
Last 7: Morrison 5-2 Kelly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
0
1
Morrison
Kelly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Morrison
2
1
Morrison
Kelly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Morrison
3
0
Morrison
Kelly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Morrison
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (511)
51.9% (723)
-1.8%
Power Play
51.3% (76)
54.2% (24)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (172)
46.4% (166)
+1.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Morrison is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (530).
Morrison shoots left. Kelly is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (605).
Home / Away
Morrison
Kelly
Home
52.6% (380)
53.8% (442)
Away
46.6% (382)
48.1% (474)
By Period
Morrison
Kelly
P1
50.0%
50.2%
P2
48.4%
47.6%
P3
50.6%
54.5%
OT
46.7%
85.7%
Final 5 min
47.8%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Morrison
50.0%▲
44.5%
49.6%
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2011 | 2 | 11:29 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 9, 2011 | 1 | 10:21 | Neutral | Brendan Morrison |
| Jan 14, 2011 | 3 | 14:43 | Defensive | Brendan Morrison |
| Jan 14, 2011 | 2 | 19:20 | Neutral | Brendan Morrison |
| Jan 14, 2011 | 2 | 19:07 | Neutral | Brendan Morrison |
| Jan 14, 2011 | 1 | 09:32 | Defensive | Brendan Morrison |
| Jan 14, 2011 | 1 | 00:52 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |