Scouting Report
Brendan Morrison holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Morrison 49.7% vs Backes 44.9% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backes 67.7%
Defensive zone
Morrison 53.2%
Neutral zone
Backes 54.4%
Result
David Backes favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
Morrison
Backes
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Morrison
Backes
Last 9: Morrison 3-6 Backes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Morrison
2
1
Morrison
Backes
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
0
3
Morrison
Backes
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
1
2
Morrison
Backes
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Morrison
Backes
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (511)
45.3% (819)
+4.8%
Power Play
51.3% (76)
42.1% (190)
+9.2%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (172)
40.5% (111)
+7.8%
On power play, Morrison has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backes shoots right. Morrison is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (232).
Morrison shoots left. Backes is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (907).
Home / Away
Morrison
Backes
Home
52.6% (380)
42.9% (581)
Away
46.6% (382)
46.1% (557)
By Period
Morrison
Backes
P1
50.0%
40.1%
P2
48.4%
47.3%
P3
50.6%
45.1%
OT
46.7%
57.1%
Final 5 min
47.8%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Morrison
50.0%▲
44.5%
49.6%
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2011 | 3 | 05:50 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 2 | 15:33 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 2 | 15:17 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 1 | 14:30 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 1 | 10:03 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 1 | 16:15 | Offensive | Brendan Morrison |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brendan Morrison |
| Jan 26, 2011 | 2 | 09:07 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Jan 26, 2011 | 2 | 02:46 | Offensive | Brendan Morrison |