Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.5% vs 48.6%). Morrison wins 37.6% vs right-shot opponents — Backes shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Morrison 49.6% vs Backes 48.7% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backes 50.5%
Defensive zone
Backes 56.0%
Neutral zone
Morrison 53.4%
Result
David Backes favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Morrison
Backes
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Morrison
Backes
Last 5: Morrison 4-1 Backes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Morrison
Backes
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Morrison
1
0
Morrison
Backes
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Morrison
2
0
Morrison
Backes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Morrison
Backes
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (336)
49.1% (967)
-1.2%
Power Play
69.4% (36)
48.1% (189)
+21.3%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (21)
45.2% (168)
-2.3%
On power play, Morrison has a +21.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backes shoots right. Morrison is 37.6% vs right-shot opponents (109).
Morrison shoots left. Backes is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (981).
Home / Away
Morrison
Backes
Home
55.1% (176)
48.1% (690)
Away
45.0% (218)
49.2% (663)
By Period
Morrison
Backes
P1
47.1%
49.0%
P2
56.0%
50.2%
P3
46.7%
47.5%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.7%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Morrison
50.0%▲
44.5%
49.5%
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2011 | 3 | 08:00 | Offensive | Brendan Morrison |
| Oct 28, 2011 | 3 | 12:52 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Oct 28, 2011 | 3 | 12:28 | Neutral | Brendan Morrison |
| Oct 28, 2011 | 3 | 06:07 | Neutral | Brendan Morrison |
| Oct 28, 2011 | 1 | 15:07 | Defensive | Brendan Morrison |