Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Morrison on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Morrison wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Morrison 49.6% vs Duchene 50.9% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 70.5%
Defensive zone
Morrison 57.3%
Neutral zone
Morrison 52.4%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Morrison
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Morrison
Duchene
Last 9: Morrison 6-3 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
2
Morrison
Duchene
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Morrison
1
0
Morrison
Duchene
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Morrison
5
1
Morrison
Duchene
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Morrison
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (336)
51.0% (357)
-3.1%
Power Play
69.4% (36)
53.6% (28)
+15.8%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (21)
50.0% (2)
-7.1%
On power play, Morrison has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Morrison is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Morrison shoots left. Duchene is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Home / Away
Morrison
Duchene
Home
55.1% (176)
51.0% (208)
Away
45.0% (218)
51.4% (183)
By Period
Morrison
Duchene
P1
47.1%
53.3%
P2
56.0%
53.4%
P3
46.7%
44.6%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
47.7%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Morrison
50.0%▲
44.5%
49.5%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2011 | 3 | 09:58 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 8, 2011 | 3 | 01:31 | Defensive | Brendan Morrison |
| Dec 8, 2011 | 2 | 14:30 | Neutral | Brendan Morrison |
| Dec 8, 2011 | 1 | 14:59 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 26, 2011 | 3 | 15:29 | Neutral | Brendan Morrison |
| Oct 26, 2011 | 2 | 17:03 | Neutral | Brendan Morrison |
| Oct 26, 2011 | 2 | 09:27 | Neutral | Brendan Morrison |
| Oct 26, 2011 | 2 | 03:57 | Neutral | Brendan Morrison |
| Oct 26, 2011 | 1 | 16:37 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |