Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Morrison on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Morrison wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Morrison 49.6% vs Stastny 55.1% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 79.9%
Defensive zone
Stastny 71.2%
Neutral zone
Stastny 72.0%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 73.0%
27.0%
73.0%
Morrison
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Morrison
Stastny
Last 6: Morrison 4-2 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Morrison
Stastny
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Morrison
2
0
Morrison
Stastny
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Morrison
2
1
Morrison
Stastny
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Morrison
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (336)
55.0% (1,136)
-7.1%
Power Play
69.4% (36)
57.5% (200)
+11.9%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (21)
53.1% (64)
-10.2%
On power play, Morrison has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Morrison is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Morrison shoots left. Stastny is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Home / Away
Morrison
Stastny
Home
55.1% (176)
58.5% (744)
Away
45.0% (218)
52.1% (680)
By Period
Morrison
Stastny
P1
47.1%
57.9%
P2
56.0%
54.9%
P3
46.7%
53.0%
OT
0.0%
72.0%
Final 5 min
47.7%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Morrison
50.0%▲
44.5%
49.5%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2012 | 3 | 17:58 | Neutral | Brendan Morrison |
| Oct 26, 2011 | 3 | 18:26 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 26, 2011 | 3 | 01:22 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 26, 2011 | 3 | 01:17 | Neutral | Brendan Morrison |
| Oct 26, 2011 | 1 | 10:36 | Defensive | Brendan Morrison |
| Oct 26, 2011 | 1 | 10:13 | Defensive | Brendan Morrison |