Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Morrison wins 37.6% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Morrison 49.6% vs Kesler 53.3% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 13-4 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Morrison 68.1%
Defensive zone
Morrison 69.1%
Neutral zone
Morrison 69.1%
Result
Brendan Morrison favored at 68.8%
68.8%
31.2%
Morrison
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
13
(17 meetings)
4
13
Morrison
Kesler
Last 10: Morrison 2-8 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Morrison
3
2
Morrison
Kesler
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
4
Morrison
Kesler
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
7
Morrison
Kesler
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Morrison
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (336)
53.8% (981)
-5.9%
Power Play
69.4% (36)
56.9% (160)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (21)
49.2% (185)
-6.3%
On power play, Morrison has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Morrison is 37.6% vs right-shot opponents (109).
Morrison shoots left. Kesler is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (959).
Home / Away
Morrison
Kesler
Home
55.1% (176)
54.1% (690)
Away
45.0% (218)
53.1% (661)
By Period
Morrison
Kesler
P1
47.1%
52.3%
P2
56.0%
52.8%
P3
46.7%
56.3%
OT
0.0%
44.1%
Final 5 min
47.7%
58.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Morrison
50.0%▲
44.5%
49.5%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2012 | 3 | 18:43 | Offensive | Brendan Morrison |
| Mar 21, 2012 | 3 | 06:59 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 21, 2012 | 2 | 19:57 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 21, 2012 | 2 | 18:26 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 21, 2012 | 2 | 18:16 | Defensive | Brendan Morrison |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 3 | 17:31 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 2 | 15:37 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 23, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 23, 2011 | 1 | 00:03 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 1, 2011 | 3 | 16:16 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 1, 2011 | 2 | 16:08 | Offensive | Brendan Morrison |
| Nov 1, 2011 | 2 | 12:41 | Offensive | Brendan Morrison |
| Nov 1, 2011 | 2 | 03:47 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 1, 2011 | 2 | 00:21 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 1, 2011 | 1 | 07:57 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 1, 2011 | 1 | 05:03 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 1, 2011 | 1 | 04:55 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |