Scouting Report
Brendan Morrison holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Oshie on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Morrison wins 44.3% vs right-shot opponents — Oshie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Morrison 49.6% vs Oshie 46.4% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Oshie 91.9%
Defensive zone
Morrison 69.3%
Neutral zone
Oshie 64.5%
Result
T.J. Oshie favored at 79.6%
20.4%
79.6%
Morrison
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Morrison
Oshie
Last 5: Morrison 1-4 Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Oshie
0
4
Morrison
Oshie
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Morrison
1
0
Morrison
Oshie
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Morrison
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (847)
45.2% (764)
+4.0%
Power Play
57.1% (112)
47.7% (1,221)
+9.4%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (193)
40.2% (164)
+7.5%
On power play, Morrison has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Morrison is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Morrison shoots left. Oshie is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,672).
Home / Away
Morrison
Oshie
Home
53.4% (556)
48.7% (1,103)
Away
46.0% (600)
43.7% (1,047)
By Period
Morrison
Oshie
P1
49.0%
47.3%
P2
50.8%
45.2%
P3
49.2%
46.7%
OT
43.8%
40.8%
Final 5 min
47.8%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Morrison
50.0%▲
44.5%
49.6%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2011 | 3 | 18:43 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Jan 26, 2011 | 3 | 03:42 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Jan 26, 2011 | 3 | 03:36 | Defensive | Brendan Morrison |
| Jan 26, 2011 | 3 | 03:25 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Jan 26, 2011 | 2 | 16:51 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |