Scouting Report
Brett Connolly holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Connolly wins 45.7% vs right-shot opponents — Perron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Connolly 43.2% vs Perron 40.6% (+2.0%)
Offensive zone
Perron 56.8%
Defensive zone
Perron 54.0%
Neutral zone
Perron 51.9%
Result
David Perron favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Connolly
Perron
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Connolly
Perron
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (229)
37.4% (398)
+2.8%
Power Play
43.1% (58)
44.5% (110)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
33.3% (12)
+16.7%
On penalty kill, Connolly has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Perron shoots right. Connolly is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (81).
Connolly shoots right. Perron is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Connolly
Perron
Home
42.6% (129)
42.8% (269)
Away
39.4% (160)
34.7% (251)
By Period
Connolly
Perron
P1
41.8%
42.4%
P2
40.0%
34.1%
P3
40.6%
40.0%
Final 5 min
43.1%
42.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Connolly
30.0%▼
38.5%
40.8%
Perron
38.0%▼
40.5%
38.8%