Scouting Report
Brett Connolly holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Connolly wins 38.9% vs left-shot opponents — Farabee shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Connolly 43.2% vs Farabee 37.7% (+6.2%)
Offensive zone
Farabee 51.9%
Defensive zone
Farabee 62.3%
Neutral zone
Farabee 52.9%
Result
Joel Farabee favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Connolly
Farabee
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Connolly
Farabee
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (229)
32.7% (312)
+7.5%
Power Play
43.1% (58)
46.4% (56)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
32.0% (25)
+18.0%
On penalty kill, Connolly has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Farabee shoots left. Connolly is 38.9% vs left-shot opponents (208).
Connolly shoots right. Farabee is 34.8% vs right-shot opponents (164).
Home / Away
Connolly
Farabee
Home
42.6% (129)
33.7% (178)
Away
39.4% (160)
35.3% (215)
By Period
Connolly
Farabee
P1
41.8%
39.9%
P2
40.0%
32.8%
P3
40.6%
28.4%
Final 5 min
43.1%
35.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Connolly
30.0%▼
38.5%
40.8%
Farabee
42.0%▲
38.5%
34.6%