Brett Connolly vs Jonathan Drouin
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jonathan Drouin holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Connolly wins 38.9% vs left-shot opponents — Drouin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Connolly 43.2% vs Drouin 44.5% (-3.5%)
Offensive zone
Connolly 57.7%
Defensive zone
Drouin 54.8%
Neutral zone
Connolly 52.3%
Result
Brett Connolly favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Connolly
Drouin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Connolly
Drouin
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (229)
43.5% (1,824)
-3.3%
Power Play
43.1% (58)
48.3% (387)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
39.1% (23)
+10.9%
On penalty kill, Connolly has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Drouin shoots left. Connolly is 38.9% vs left-shot opponents (208).
Connolly shoots right. Drouin is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (849).
Home / Away
Connolly
Drouin
Home
42.6% (129)
44.0% (1,041)
Away
39.4% (160)
44.5% (1,193)
By Period
Connolly
Drouin
P1
41.8%
45.9%
P2
40.0%
42.0%
P3
40.6%
45.0%
Final 5 min
43.1%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Connolly
30.0%▼
38.5%
40.8%
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
44.3%