Brett Connolly vs Jonathan Marchessault
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jonathan Marchessault holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Connolly wins 45.7% vs right-shot opponents — Marchessault shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Connolly 43.2% vs Marchessault 42.2% (-1.0%)
Offensive zone
Connolly 50.6%
Defensive zone
Connolly 57.6%
Neutral zone
Marchessault 52.0%
Result
Brett Connolly favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Connolly
Marchessault
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Connolly
Marchessault
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (229)
41.3% (1,437)
-1.1%
Power Play
43.1% (58)
44.3% (264)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
44.4% (9)
+5.6%
On penalty kill, Connolly has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marchessault shoots right. Connolly is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (81).
Connolly shoots right. Marchessault is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (589).
Home / Away
Connolly
Marchessault
Home
42.6% (129)
42.5% (888)
Away
39.4% (160)
41.0% (822)
By Period
Connolly
Marchessault
P1
41.8%
43.1%
P2
40.0%
42.1%
P3
40.6%
39.9%
Final 5 min
43.1%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Connolly
30.0%▼
38.5%
40.8%
Marchessault
32.0%▬
32.0%
41.8%