Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.1% vs 48.8%). Connolly wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Connolly 49.3% vs Bonino 48.9% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Connolly 54.9%
Defensive zone
Bonino 61.0%
Neutral zone
Bonino 61.8%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Connolly
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Connolly
Bonino
Last 5: Connolly 4-1 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Connolly
2
0
Connolly
Bonino
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Connolly
2
0
Connolly
Bonino
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
1
Connolly
Bonino
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Connolly
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (51)
49.6% (837)
-2.5%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
50.7% (223)
+49.3%
On power play, Connolly has a +49.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Connolly is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (42).
Connolly shoots right. Bonino is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Connolly
Bonino
Home
62.5% (8)
50.7% (564)
Away
45.5% (44)
47.1% (630)
By Period
Connolly
Bonino
P1
44.4%
44.9%
P2
60.0%
50.1%
P3
42.1%
50.9%
Final 5 min
53.3%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Connolly
30.0%▼
38.5%
48.1%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2013 | 3 | 10:12 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 14, 2013 | 2 | 07:31 | Defensive | Brett Connolly |
| Nov 14, 2013 | 2 | 04:12 | Defensive | Brett Connolly |
| Nov 14, 2013 | 1 | 06:37 | Offensive | Brett Connolly |
| Nov 14, 2013 | 1 | 03:34 | Offensive | Brett Connolly |