Scouting Report
Ryan Reaves holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Connolly wins 45.7% vs right-shot opponents — Reaves shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Connolly 43.2% vs Reaves 45.3% (-2.5%)
Offensive zone
Connolly 57.1%
Defensive zone
Connolly 51.4%
Neutral zone
Reaves 51.8%
Result
Brett Connolly favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Connolly
Reaves
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Connolly
Reaves
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (229)
43.8% (217)
-3.6%
Power Play
43.1% (58)
36.8% (19)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
50.0% (2)
+0.0%
On power play, Connolly has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reaves shoots right. Connolly is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (81).
Connolly shoots right. Reaves is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (63).
Home / Away
Connolly
Reaves
Home
42.6% (129)
46.8% (111)
Away
39.4% (160)
40.2% (127)
By Period
Connolly
Reaves
P1
41.8%
41.9%
P2
40.0%
40.4%
P3
40.6%
49.2%
Final 5 min
43.1%
34.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Connolly
30.0%▼
38.5%
40.8%
Reaves
34.0%▼
42.5%
43.3%