Brett Connolly vs Tomas Plekanec
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Tomas Plekanec holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Plekanec on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Connolly wins 38.9% vs left-shot opponents — Plekanec shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Connolly 43.2% vs Plekanec 50.1% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Connolly 82.5%
Defensive zone
Plekanec 73.1%
Neutral zone
Connolly 60.2%
Result
Brett Connolly favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Connolly
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Connolly
Plekanec
Last 9: Connolly 4-5 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Connolly
2
0
Connolly
Plekanec
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
0
4
Connolly
Plekanec
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Connolly
2
1
Connolly
Plekanec
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Connolly
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (229)
50.8% (8,558)
-10.6%
Power Play
43.1% (58)
51.3% (1,151)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
46.0% (1,924)
+4.0%
On even strength, Plekanec has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Connolly is 38.9% vs left-shot opponents (208).
Connolly shoots right. Plekanec is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (4,678).
Home / Away
Connolly
Plekanec
Home
42.6% (129)
51.1% (5,909)
Away
39.4% (160)
49.1% (5,818)
By Period
Connolly
Plekanec
P1
41.8%
52.5%
P2
40.0%
48.9%
P3
40.6%
49.0%
Final 5 min
43.1%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Connolly
30.0%▼
38.5%
40.8%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2016 | 2 | 08:20 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 9, 2015 | 3 | 02:16 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 2 | 09:51 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 3 | 15:22 | Neutral | Brett Connolly |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 3 | 00:14 | Offensive | Brett Connolly |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 2 | 18:08 | Offensive | Brett Connolly |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 1 | 09:56 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 1 | 05:00 | Neutral | Brett Connolly |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 1 | 02:30 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |