Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Howden on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Suomela wins 40.3% vs left-shot opponents — Howden shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suomela 46.2% vs Howden 48.6% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suomela 53.6%
Defensive zone
Howden 54.8%
Neutral zone
Suomela 51.9%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Suomela
Howden
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Suomela
Howden
Last 5: Suomela 0-5 Howden
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Howden
0
2
Suomela
Howden
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
0
3
Suomela
Howden
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suomela
Howden
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (224)
48.3% (631)
-3.2%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
60.0% (40)
-26.7%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
41.4% (58)
-41.4%
On penalty kill, Howden has a +41.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Howden shoots left. Suomela is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (144).
Suomela shoots left. Howden is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (480).
Home / Away
Suomela
Howden
Home
50.0% (102)
52.0% (304)
Away
40.2% (127)
45.9% (425)
By Period
Suomela
Howden
P1
49.3%
48.7%
P2
37.9%
48.1%
P3
47.8%
49.0%
Final 5 min
38.0%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suomela
58.0%▲
50.5%
44.5%
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2018 | 2 | 19:29 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 3 | 11:43 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 2 | 14:19 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 1 | 01:20 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 1 | 01:10 | Defensive | Brett Howden |