Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Howden on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 55.3% vs left-shot opponents — Howden shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 55.4% vs Howden 50.0% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 77.2%
Defensive zone
Howden 74.9%
Neutral zone
Howden 69.9%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 74.4%
25.6%
74.4%
Horvat
Howden
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Horvat
Howden
Last 6: Horvat 1-5 Howden
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Howden
1
2
Horvat
Howden
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
0
1
Horvat
Howden
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
0
2
Horvat
Howden
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Howden
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (670)
50.3% (380)
+4.9%
Power Play
61.8% (225)
46.7% (15)
+15.1%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (98)
48.3% (29)
-1.4%
On power play, Horvat has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Howden shoots left. Horvat is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (597).
Horvat shoots left. Howden is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (256).
Home / Away
Horvat
Howden
Home
58.1% (449)
47.7% (195)
Away
54.0% (544)
52.0% (229)
By Period
Horvat
Howden
P1
59.2%
50.7%
P2
53.1%
52.0%
P3
55.8%
48.4%
OT
55.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
59.5%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
46.0%▼
54.5%
55.9%
Howden
38.0%▼
45.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 09:34 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 09:20 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 07:01 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 13, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 10:04 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 09:05 | Offensive | Brett Howden |