Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 48.1%). Look for Howden on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 49.0% vs Jarnkrok 48.1% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jarnkrok 52.6%
Defensive zone
Howden 56.7%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 51.8%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Howden
Jarnkrok
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Howden
Jarnkrok
Last 8: Howden 5-3 Jarnkrok
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Howden
Jarnkrok
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
2
1
Howden
Jarnkrok
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
2
1
Howden
Jarnkrok
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Jarnkrok
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (2,905)
49.3% (3,354)
+0.3%
Power Play
50.5% (111)
51.9% (258)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (315)
40.5% (640)
+2.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarnkrok shoots right. Howden is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,179).
Howden shoots left. Jarnkrok is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,982).
Home / Away
Howden
Jarnkrok
Home
48.4% (1,608)
50.6% (2,261)
Away
49.6% (1,723)
45.3% (1,991)
By Period
Howden
Jarnkrok
P1
49.5%
47.7%
P2
48.0%
48.0%
P3
49.9%
48.8%
OT
39.3%
40.5%
Final 5 min
48.6%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.0%
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2022 | 3 | 15:00 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 1 | 15:17 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 3 | 04:39 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 3 | 04:23 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 2 | 10:35 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 2 | 04:24 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 1 | 04:20 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 1 | 01:03 | Defensive | Brett Howden |