Scouting Report
David Krejci holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Howden on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Howden wins 43.8% vs right-shot opponents — Krejci shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 47.6% vs Krejci 53.6% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krejci 60.9%
Defensive zone
Howden 76.5%
Neutral zone
Howden 59.3%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Howden
Krejci
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Howden
Krejci
Last 6: Howden 2-4 Krejci
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Howden
2
1
Howden
Krejci
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Krejci
0
2
Howden
Krejci
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Krejci
0
1
Howden
Krejci
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Krejci
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (191)
54.0% (546)
-4.3%
Power Play
42.9% (14)
57.1% (42)
-14.2%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (48)
50.0% (4)
-14.6%
On penalty kill, Krejci has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krejci shoots right. Howden is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (96).
Howden shoots left. Krejci is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (345).
Home / Away
Howden
Krejci
Home
42.8% (138)
52.2% (335)
Away
51.3% (115)
56.8% (257)
By Period
Howden
Krejci
P1
47.9%
55.3%
P2
49.4%
55.2%
P3
43.3%
51.6%
Final 5 min
45.7%
58.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
46.6%
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2021 | 3 | 04:49 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 1 | 08:58 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 1 | 02:04 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Feb 10, 2021 | 2 | 05:46 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Feb 10, 2021 | 2 | 05:42 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Feb 10, 2021 | 2 | 02:20 | Neutral | David Krejci |