Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.4% vs 48.1%). Look for Howden on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 48.6% vs Brassard 48.4% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 54.6%
Defensive zone
Howden 52.4%
Neutral zone
Brassard 55.6%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Howden
Brassard
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Howden
Brassard
Last 8: Howden 6-2 Brassard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Howden
4
1
Howden
Brassard
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
1
0
Howden
Brassard
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Howden
Brassard
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Brassard
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (631)
48.7% (517)
-0.4%
Power Play
60.0% (40)
39.0% (59)
+21.0%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (58)
66.7% (12)
-25.3%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +25.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brassard shoots left. Howden is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (480).
Howden shoots left. Brassard is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Home / Away
Howden
Brassard
Home
52.0% (304)
50.9% (348)
Away
45.9% (425)
44.2% (240)
By Period
Howden
Brassard
P1
48.7%
48.0%
P2
48.1%
47.3%
P3
49.0%
48.9%
OT
33.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
45.0%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
48.4%
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2019 | 3 | 08:04 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Jan 2, 2019 | 3 | 01:14 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Jan 2, 2019 | 3 | 01:08 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Jan 2, 2019 | 3 | 01:03 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 2, 2019 | 2 | 13:24 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 2, 2019 | 2 | 01:45 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Jan 2, 2019 | 1 | 17:52 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Jan 2, 2019 | 1 | 01:12 | Offensive | Brett Howden |