Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 48.5%). Look for Howden on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 49.0% vs Nielsen 48.5% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nielsen 51.0%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 55.5%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 50.3%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Howden
Nielsen
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Howden
Nielsen
Last 6: Howden 6-0 Nielsen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Howden
4
0
Howden
Nielsen
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
2
0
Howden
Nielsen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Nielsen
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (2,905)
49.3% (7,608)
+0.3%
Power Play
50.5% (111)
54.7% (594)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (315)
41.7% (1,420)
+1.5%
On power play, Nielsen has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nielsen shoots left. Howden is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,152).
Howden shoots left. Nielsen is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,996).
Home / Away
Howden
Nielsen
Home
48.4% (1,608)
49.9% (4,766)
Away
49.6% (1,723)
47.1% (4,890)
By Period
Howden
Nielsen
P1
49.5%
49.7%
P2
48.0%
47.6%
P3
49.9%
48.2%
OT
39.3%
46.6%
Final 5 min
48.6%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.0%
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2019 | 3 | 17:00 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 3 | 14:46 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Mar 7, 2019 | 1 | 08:28 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Mar 7, 2019 | 1 | 08:23 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Mar 7, 2019 | 1 | 04:43 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 9, 2018 | 2 | 05:23 | Neutral | Brett Howden |