Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.4% vs 48.8%). Look for Howden on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 48.6% vs Nielsen 48.9% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nielsen 57.3%
Defensive zone
Howden 50.6%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 58.5%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 57.7%
42.3%
57.7%
Howden
Nielsen
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Howden
Nielsen
Last 6: Howden 6-0 Nielsen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Howden
4
0
Howden
Nielsen
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
2
0
Howden
Nielsen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Nielsen
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (631)
49.7% (759)
-1.4%
Power Play
60.0% (40)
48.1% (106)
+11.9%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (58)
37.9% (58)
+3.5%
On power play, Howden has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nielsen shoots left. Howden is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (480).
Howden shoots left. Nielsen is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Howden
Nielsen
Home
52.0% (304)
49.8% (422)
Away
45.9% (425)
47.9% (501)
By Period
Howden
Nielsen
P1
48.7%
48.8%
P2
48.1%
48.7%
P3
49.0%
49.0%
OT
33.3%
43.8%
Final 5 min
45.0%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
48.4%
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2019 | 3 | 17:00 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 3 | 14:46 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Mar 7, 2019 | 1 | 08:28 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Mar 7, 2019 | 1 | 08:23 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Mar 7, 2019 | 1 | 04:43 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 9, 2018 | 2 | 05:23 | Neutral | Brett Howden |