Brett Howden vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Howden on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Howden wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Kotkaniemi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 50.4% vs Kotkaniemi 48.6% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 54.8%
Defensive zone
Howden 65.7%
Neutral zone
Howden 59.9%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Howden
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Howden
Kotkaniemi
Last 6: Howden 5-1 Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Howden
2
0
Howden
Kotkaniemi
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
1
0
Howden
Kotkaniemi
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
2
1
Howden
Kotkaniemi
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (381)
47.3% (207)
+3.1%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
100.0% (3)
-44.4%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (29)
33.3% (3)
+15.0%
On power play, Kotkaniemi has a +44.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Howden is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (257).
Howden shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Home / Away
Howden
Kotkaniemi
Home
47.7% (195)
46.5% (129)
Away
52.8% (233)
50.0% (84)
By Period
Howden
Kotkaniemi
P1
51.1%
51.3%
P2
52.6%
46.1%
P3
48.8%
45.9%
Final 5 min
50.0%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
50.5%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 19:38 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 14:30 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 14:17 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 13:05 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 18:03 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 02:37 | Defensive | Brett Howden |