Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 49.0% vs Pavelski 54.1% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Howden leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Pavelski 78.0%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 57.1%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 64.7%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 65.8%
34.2%
65.8%
Howden
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Howden
Pavelski
Last 10: Howden 5-5 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Howden
3
1
Howden
Pavelski
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
4
Howden
Pavelski
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
3
1
Howden
Pavelski
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (2,882)
53.6% (8,791)
-4.0%
Power Play
50.0% (104)
58.2% (2,122)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (310)
50.9% (1,138)
-8.0%
On power play, Pavelski has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Howden is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,159).
Howden shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,103).
Home / Away
Howden
Pavelski
Home
48.4% (1,587)
56.4% (5,998)
Away
49.6% (1,709)
52.0% (6,076)
By Period
Howden
Pavelski
P1
49.7%
53.5%
P2
47.7%
55.2%
P3
49.9%
53.9%
OT
39.3%
52.3%
Final 5 min
48.5%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
34.0%▼
48.0%
49.0%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 09:41 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 02:09 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 2 | 02:32 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 3, 2020 | 3 | 09:12 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Feb 3, 2020 | 3 | 02:22 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 3, 2020 | 3 | 00:08 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Feb 3, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Feb 3, 2020 | 1 | 02:43 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 3, 2020 | 1 | 02:29 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 1 | 19:59 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 1 | 07:16 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 2 | 14:25 | Defensive | Brett Howden |