Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Ek on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Howden wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Ek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 50.5% vs Ek 49.4% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ek 55.2%
Defensive zone
Ek 53.1%
Neutral zone
Ek 54.0%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Howden
Ek
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Howden
Ek
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ek
1
3
Howden
Ek
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Ek
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (358)
47.7% (671)
+3.1%
Power Play
54.5% (11)
54.9% (206)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (24)
49.0% (155)
-3.2%
On penalty kill, Ek has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ek shoots left. Howden is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (242).
Howden shoots left. Ek is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (718).
Home / Away
Howden
Ek
Home
47.7% (174)
50.3% (565)
Away
53.0% (219)
48.2% (467)
By Period
Howden
Ek
P1
53.3%
47.4%
P2
51.1%
54.3%
P3
49.2%
46.2%
OT
33.3%
51.2%
Final 5 min
49.4%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
34.0%▼
48.0%
50.6%
Ek
48.0%▬
49.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 16, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Brett Howden |