Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Howden wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 50.5% vs Suzuki 49.5% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 63.5%
Defensive zone
Howden 67.8%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 52.7%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 60.0%
60.0%
40.0%
Howden
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Howden
Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
1
Howden
Suzuki
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
2
Howden
Suzuki
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (358)
50.5% (701)
+0.3%
Power Play
54.5% (11)
50.0% (212)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (24)
34.5% (55)
+11.3%
On penalty kill, Howden has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Howden is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (151).
Howden shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (702).
Home / Away
Howden
Suzuki
Home
47.7% (174)
49.6% (486)
Away
53.0% (219)
49.4% (482)
By Period
Howden
Suzuki
P1
53.3%
51.1%
P2
51.1%
46.0%
P3
49.2%
51.6%
OT
33.3%
44.8%
Final 5 min
49.4%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
34.0%▼
48.0%
50.6%
Suzuki
48.0%▼
53.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 19:12 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 16:47 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 12:24 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 05:29 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |