Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 49.0% vs Kuraly 50.3% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Kuraly leads 12-5 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Howden 84.3%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 51.7%
Neutral zone
Howden 66.3%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 68.4%
68.4%
31.6%
Howden
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
12
(17 meetings)
5
12
Howden
Kuraly
Last 10: Howden 1-9 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
2
6
Howden
Kuraly
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
5
Howden
Kuraly
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
2
1
Howden
Kuraly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (2,905)
51.5% (5,141)
-1.9%
Power Play
50.5% (111)
56.0% (100)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (315)
44.2% (1,086)
-1.0%
On power play, Kuraly has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Howden is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,152).
Howden shoots left. Kuraly is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,102).
Home / Away
Howden
Kuraly
Home
48.4% (1,608)
51.9% (3,187)
Away
49.6% (1,723)
48.7% (3,141)
By Period
Howden
Kuraly
P1
49.5%
51.1%
P2
48.0%
49.9%
P3
49.9%
50.0%
OT
39.3%
52.3%
Final 5 min
48.6%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.0%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2021 | 3 | 01:55 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 1 | 12:31 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 2 | 08:47 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 26, 2021 | 3 | 06:34 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 26, 2021 | 3 | 03:05 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 12, 2021 | 3 | 13:40 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 3 | 19:47 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 2 | 03:06 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 1 | 19:18 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 3 | 07:51 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 3 | 05:31 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 2 | 04:19 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Oct 27, 2019 | 3 | 00:58 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 27, 2019 | 2 | 16:37 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 27, 2019 | 2 | 11:04 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 27, 2019 | 2 | 07:20 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Oct 27, 2019 | 1 | 18:18 | Neutral | Brett Howden |