Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Howden on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 49.0% vs Wright 43.3% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 64.3%
Defensive zone
Howden 86.4%
Neutral zone
Howden 83.7%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 75.3%
75.3%
24.7%
Howden
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Howden
Wright
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Howden
4
0
Howden
Wright
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Howden
Wright
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (2,905)
42.6% (1,318)
+7.0%
Power Play
50.5% (111)
45.8% (131)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (315)
33.3% (6)
+9.9%
On penalty kill, Howden has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Howden is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,179).
Howden shoots left. Wright is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,072).
Home / Away
Howden
Wright
Home
48.4% (1,608)
44.2% (746)
Away
49.6% (1,723)
41.5% (709)
By Period
Howden
Wright
P1
49.5%
44.4%
P2
48.0%
40.7%
P3
49.9%
44.0%
OT
39.3%
20.0%
Final 5 min
48.6%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.0%
Wright
44.0%▲
42.5%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 13:30 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 17:10 | Defensive | Shane Wright |