Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 49.3%). Look for Howden on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 49.0% vs Dries 49.4% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Howden leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Dries 56.3%
Defensive zone
Howden 57.7%
Neutral zone
Howden 51.4%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Howden
Dries
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Howden
Dries
Last 10: Howden 6-4 Dries
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dries
1
2
Howden
Dries
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
4
1
Howden
Dries
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Howden
Dries
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Dries
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (2,905)
48.5% (544)
+1.1%
Power Play
50.5% (111)
54.3% (70)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (315)
51.4% (37)
-8.2%
On penalty kill, Dries has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dries shoots left. Howden is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,152).
Howden shoots left. Dries is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (426).
Home / Away
Howden
Dries
Home
48.4% (1,608)
52.6% (363)
Away
49.6% (1,723)
45.1% (288)
By Period
Howden
Dries
P1
49.5%
46.7%
P2
48.0%
51.4%
P3
49.9%
49.5%
Final 5 min
48.6%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.0%
Dries
40.0%▼
49.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 09:34 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 08:57 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 01:47 | Neutral | Sheldon Dries |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 13:26 | Defensive | Sheldon Dries |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 01:40 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 13:14 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 07:21 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 01:20 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 01:06 | Offensive | Sheldon Dries |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 01:03 | Offensive | Sheldon Dries |
| Jan 4, 2019 | 3 | 19:41 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Jan 4, 2019 | 3 | 13:28 | Neutral | Sheldon Dries |