Scouting Report
Mathew Barzal holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Seney on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Seney wins 26.8% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Seney 41.1% vs Barzal 42.8% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 73.9%
Defensive zone
Barzal 56.6%
Neutral zone
Barzal 55.8%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 65.0%
35.0%
65.0%
Seney
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Seney
Barzal
Last 6: Seney 4-2 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seney
2
1
Seney
Barzal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seney
1
0
Seney
Barzal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Seney
Barzal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Seney
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
38.0% (258)
41.9% (516)
-3.9%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
40.0% (60)
-40.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
25.0% (4)
-25.0%
On power play, Barzal has a +40.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Seney is 26.8% vs right-shot opponents (71).
Seney shoots left. Barzal is 38.1% vs left-shot opponents (407).
Home / Away
Seney
Barzal
Home
38.4% (99)
46.9% (303)
Away
37.3% (161)
35.7% (277)
By Period
Seney
Barzal
P1
34.4%
39.9%
P2
39.5%
45.1%
P3
39.8%
39.9%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
34.5%
38.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Seney
34.0%▼
35.5%
37.7%
Barzal
40.0%▼
44.5%
41.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2018 | 3 | 15:06 | Neutral | Brett Seney |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 3 | 12:34 | Offensive | Brett Seney |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 3 | 09:50 | Offensive | Brett Seney |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 3 | 05:15 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 2 | 01:32 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 1 | 13:30 | Defensive | Brett Seney |