Scouting Report
Brett Sutter holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Sutter on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Sutter wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Fraser shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 52.1% vs Fraser 46.7% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Sutter leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Sutter 73.9%
Defensive zone
Sutter 71.4%
Neutral zone
Sutter 60.6%
Result
Brett Sutter favored at 71.6%
71.6%
28.4%
Sutter
Fraser
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Sutter
Fraser
Last 10: Sutter 6-4 Fraser
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
3
2
Sutter
Fraser
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
3
1
Sutter
Fraser
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fraser
0
1
Sutter
Fraser
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Fraser
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (123)
48.0% (1,036)
+8.1%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
58.3% (36)
-58.3%
Penalty Kill
30.0% (10)
35.8% (187)
-5.8%
On power play, Fraser has a +58.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fraser shoots left. Sutter is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (84).
Sutter shoots left. Fraser is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Home / Away
Sutter
Fraser
Home
55.6% (81)
48.6% (661)
Away
50.9% (53)
44.0% (602)
By Period
Sutter
Fraser
P1
60.9%
46.7%
P2
49.2%
46.4%
P3
51.9%
46.2%
Final 5 min
26.9%
46.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
54.0%▬
53.7%
53.7%
Fraser
44.0%▼
49.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2010 | 2 | 03:29 | Offensive | Brett Sutter |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 2 | 03:24 | Offensive | Brett Sutter |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 1 | 03:47 | Offensive | Colin Fraser |
| Oct 7, 2010 | 3 | 17:40 | Defensive | Brett Sutter |
| Oct 7, 2010 | 3 | 17:30 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |
| Oct 7, 2010 | 3 | 08:00 | Defensive | Brett Sutter |
| Oct 7, 2010 | 3 | 04:06 | Offensive | Colin Fraser |
| Oct 7, 2010 | 3 | 03:50 | Defensive | Brett Sutter |
| Oct 7, 2010 | 2 | 13:07 | Defensive | Colin Fraser |
| Oct 7, 2010 | 1 | 02:22 | Offensive | Brett Sutter |