Scouting Report
Brian Boyle holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 48.9% vs Boyle 51.6% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Henrique leads 10-1 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 59.9%
Defensive zone
Boyle 75.3%
Neutral zone
Boyle 57.2%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Henrique
Boyle
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
1
(11 meetings)
10
1
Henrique
Boyle
Last 10: Henrique 9-1 Boyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
7
0
Henrique
Boyle
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Boyle
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Boyle
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Boyle
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (816)
52.5% (931)
-4.5%
Power Play
54.8% (62)
56.3% (64)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (127)
46.4% (209)
+4.8%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyle shoots left. Henrique is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (682).
Henrique shoots left. Boyle is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (784).
Home / Away
Henrique
Boyle
Home
51.2% (461)
54.3% (595)
Away
46.9% (565)
49.4% (620)
By Period
Henrique
Boyle
P1
49.5%
54.2%
P2
48.5%
50.0%
P3
49.1%
51.3%
OT
22.2%
42.9%
Final 5 min
50.4%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
48.8%
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2012 | 3 | 14:08 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 1 | 04:53 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 27, 2012 | 2 | 03:59 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 27, 2012 | 1 | 00:23 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 7, 2012 | 3 | 19:56 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 7, 2012 | 3 | 09:19 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 7, 2012 | 1 | 06:28 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 20, 2011 | 3 | 17:43 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 20, 2011 | 2 | 19:06 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 20, 2011 | 1 | 10:22 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 20, 2011 | 1 | 05:48 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |