Scouting Report
Brian Boyle holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Boyle on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Howden wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Boyle shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 48.5% vs Boyle 51.9% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 60.4%
Defensive zone
Howden 61.3%
Neutral zone
Howden 60.9%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 60.6%
60.6%
39.4%
Howden
Boyle
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Howden
Boyle
Last 9: Howden 2-7 Boyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
2
5
Howden
Boyle
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
0
1
Howden
Boyle
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Boyle
0
1
Howden
Boyle
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Boyle
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (417)
53.2% (312)
-6.2%
Power Play
52.4% (21)
50.0% (34)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
53.0% (83)
46.7% (30)
+6.3%
On penalty kill, Howden has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyle shoots left. Howden is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (330).
Howden shoots left. Boyle is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (251).
Home / Away
Howden
Boyle
Home
44.8% (268)
48.5% (194)
Away
51.8% (253)
56.6% (182)
By Period
Howden
Boyle
P1
51.6%
49.1%
P2
43.7%
55.9%
P3
50.0%
51.7%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.5%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
48.2%
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2019 | 2 | 18:12 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 1 | 17:11 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 10, 2019 | OT | 04:54 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 10, 2019 | 3 | 16:40 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 10, 2019 | 3 | 11:58 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 10, 2019 | 3 | 08:56 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 10, 2019 | 2 | 01:28 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 10, 2019 | 1 | 12:33 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 10, 2019 | 1 | 12:23 | Offensive | Brett Howden |