Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 50.9% vs Ryan 55.2% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Ryan leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Boyle 74.7%
Defensive zone
Boyle 82.3%
Neutral zone
Boyle 75.3%
Result
Brian Boyle favored at 77.7%
77.7%
22.3%
Boyle
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Boyle
Ryan
Last 10: Boyle 2-8 Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Boyle
Ryan
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
4
Boyle
Ryan
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
0
2
Boyle
Ryan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (5,426)
56.6% (4,102)
-4.9%
Power Play
54.6% (597)
53.2% (342)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,301)
47.8% (649)
-1.6%
On even strength, Ryan has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Boyle is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,682).
Boyle shoots left. Ryan is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,676).
Home / Away
Boyle
Ryan
Home
52.2% (3,521)
56.2% (2,559)
Away
49.8% (3,828)
54.4% (2,534)
By Period
Boyle
Ryan
P1
51.3%
55.1%
P2
51.1%
54.7%
P3
50.4%
56.0%
OT
55.3%
58.3%
Final 5 min
50.5%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
51.0%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2018 | 3 | 16:46 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 27, 2018 | 3 | 16:44 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 27, 2018 | 3 | 02:16 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 27, 2018 | 2 | 09:45 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 27, 2018 | 2 | 02:47 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 2 | 06:51 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 2 | 06:36 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 2 | 06:05 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 1 | 02:44 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 1 | 19:01 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 2 | 08:41 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 2 | 08:35 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 2 | 01:32 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |