Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 50.2%). Look for Brassard on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Boyle wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Brassard shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 50.6% vs Brassard 50.2% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Brassard leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Brassard 77.3%
Defensive zone
Boyle 70.9%
Neutral zone
Brassard 50.6%
Result
Brian Boyle favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Boyle
Brassard
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Boyle
Brassard
Last 10: Boyle 2-8 Brassard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
0
2
Boyle
Brassard
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
3
0
Boyle
Brassard
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brassard
0
6
Boyle
Brassard
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Brassard
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (517)
48.9% (1,114)
+3.7%
Power Play
54.3% (35)
57.8% (211)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (130)
42.9% (21)
-0.6%
On even strength, Boyle has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brassard shoots left. Boyle is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (383).
Boyle shoots left. Brassard is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Home / Away
Boyle
Brassard
Home
52.4% (315)
50.9% (666)
Away
49.3% (367)
49.6% (680)
By Period
Boyle
Brassard
P1
51.1%
53.3%
P2
52.6%
47.5%
P3
48.3%
49.9%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
50.7%
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2016 | 2 | 16:47 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Apr 5, 2016 | 1 | 06:07 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Apr 5, 2016 | 1 | 02:42 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Apr 5, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 30, 2015 | 2 | 09:30 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 19, 2015 | 3 | 13:43 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 19, 2015 | 2 | 19:47 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 19, 2015 | 2 | 07:15 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 19, 2015 | 1 | 19:40 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 19, 2015 | 1 | 15:44 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 19, 2015 | 1 | 15:27 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |