Scouting Report
Frederik Gauthier holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Gauthier on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Boyle wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Gauthier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 50.8% vs Gauthier 53.0% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Gauthier leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Boyle 82.0%
Defensive zone
Gauthier 64.6%
Neutral zone
Boyle 55.2%
Result
Brian Boyle favored at 61.2%
61.2%
38.8%
Boyle
Gauthier
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Boyle
Gauthier
Last 10: Boyle 3-7 Gauthier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
2
1
Boyle
Gauthier
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gauthier
0
1
Boyle
Gauthier
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gauthier
1
5
Boyle
Gauthier
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Gauthier
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (157)
53.3% (420)
-3.6%
Power Play
57.0% (142)
50.0% (8)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
32.4% (34)
63.2% (19)
-30.8%
On penalty kill, Gauthier has a +30.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gauthier shoots left. Boyle is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (204).
Boyle shoots left. Gauthier is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (304).
Home / Away
Boyle
Gauthier
Home
56.1% (148)
54.4% (237)
Away
47.0% (185)
52.9% (210)
By Period
Boyle
Gauthier
P1
49.5%
53.2%
P2
56.6%
57.8%
P3
47.1%
49.6%
Final 5 min
49.5%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
51.1%
Gauthier
40.0%▼
45.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2019 | 2 | 16:07 | Neutral | Frederik Gauthier |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 2 | 03:29 | Neutral | Frederik Gauthier |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 1 | 08:38 | Defensive | Frederik Gauthier |
| Nov 9, 2018 | 3 | 13:54 | Neutral | Frederik Gauthier |
| Nov 9, 2018 | 3 | 12:01 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 9, 2018 | 2 | 15:44 | Neutral | Frederik Gauthier |
| Nov 9, 2018 | 2 | 11:34 | Offensive | Frederik Gauthier |
| Nov 9, 2018 | 2 | 07:53 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 9, 2018 | 2 | 05:38 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 9, 2018 | 1 | 12:24 | Neutral | Frederik Gauthier |