Scouting Report
Joe Vitale holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Boyle on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Boyle wins 58.4% vs right-shot opponents — Vitale shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 55.1% vs Vitale 58.0% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boyle 50.7%
Defensive zone
Boyle 64.1%
Neutral zone
Boyle 54.8%
Result
Brian Boyle favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Boyle
Vitale
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Boyle
Vitale
Last 5: Boyle 2-3 Vitale
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
0
1
Boyle
Vitale
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
0
1
Boyle
Vitale
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Boyle
2
1
Boyle
Vitale
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Vitale
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (287)
60.2% (251)
-4.5%
Power Play
43.5% (23)
100.0% (1)
-56.5%
Penalty Kill
63.4% (71)
100.0% (5)
-36.6%
On power play, Vitale has a +56.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Vitale shoots right. Boyle is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (154).
Boyle shoots left. Vitale is 66.2% vs left-shot opponents (157).
Home / Away
Boyle
Vitale
Home
58.5% (205)
62.8% (121)
Away
54.0% (176)
59.6% (136)
By Period
Boyle
Vitale
P1
60.0%
51.8%
P2
54.9%
57.1%
P3
55.3%
73.3%
Final 5 min
56.9%
65.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
56.4%
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
61.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2013 | 3 | 07:17 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 2 | 03:33 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Jan 20, 2013 | 1 | 15:05 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Jan 20, 2013 | 1 | 11:49 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 20, 2013 | 1 | 08:50 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |