Scouting Report
Brian Boyle holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Boyle on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Boyle wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Perreault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 55.1% vs Perreault 51.3% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Perreault 57.1%
Defensive zone
Boyle 75.9%
Neutral zone
Boyle 65.0%
Result
Brian Boyle favored at 67.7%
67.7%
32.3%
Boyle
Perreault
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Boyle
Perreault
Last 8: Boyle 5-3 Perreault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Perreault
0
1
Boyle
Perreault
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Boyle
Perreault
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Boyle
3
0
Boyle
Perreault
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Perreault
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (287)
51.9% (297)
+3.8%
Power Play
43.5% (23)
51.9% (27)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
63.4% (71)
0.0% (1)
+63.4%
On penalty kill, Boyle has a +63.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Perreault shoots left. Boyle is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (227).
Boyle shoots left. Perreault is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (208).
Home / Away
Boyle
Perreault
Home
58.5% (205)
55.4% (184)
Away
54.0% (176)
46.8% (141)
By Period
Boyle
Perreault
P1
60.0%
61.5%
P2
54.9%
48.7%
P3
55.3%
45.4%
Final 5 min
56.9%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
56.4%
Perreault
48.0%▼
51.0%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2013 | 2 | 17:01 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 3 | 07:40 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 3 | 07:28 | Offensive | Mathieu Perreault |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 3 | 04:46 | Defensive | Mathieu Perreault |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 3 | 04:25 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 3 | 01:34 | Defensive | Mathieu Perreault |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 2 | 08:59 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 1 | 01:19 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |