Scouting Report
Brian Boyle holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Boyle on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Boyle wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 50.4% vs McCarron 49.3% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boyle 64.1%
Defensive zone
Boyle 56.9%
Neutral zone
McCarron 54.5%
Result
Brian Boyle favored at 59.4%
59.4%
40.6%
Boyle
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Boyle
McCarron
Last 7: Boyle 5-2 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
3
1
Boyle
McCarron
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
2
0
Boyle
McCarron
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
1
Boyle
McCarron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (667)
48.8% (121)
+0.5%
Power Play
55.6% (124)
50.0% (2)
+5.6%
On power play, Boyle has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Boyle is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (274).
Boyle shoots left. McCarron is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (91).
Home / Away
Boyle
McCarron
Home
52.9% (391)
51.7% (60)
Away
48.3% (441)
46.0% (63)
By Period
Boyle
McCarron
P1
48.9%
50.0%
P2
50.6%
40.9%
P3
51.2%
56.4%
Final 5 min
48.1%
38.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
50.5%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2018 | 2 | 11:42 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Apr 1, 2018 | 2 | 11:27 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Apr 1, 2018 | 2 | 06:52 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 1, 2018 | 1 | 14:34 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Apr 1, 2018 | 1 | 14:29 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 1, 2018 | 1 | 05:29 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Apr 1, 2018 | 1 | 02:11 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |