Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.5% vs 51.4%). Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 50.4% vs Koivu 51.3% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boyle 52.8%
Defensive zone
Koivu 63.1%
Neutral zone
Koivu 56.0%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Boyle
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Boyle
Koivu
Last 6: Boyle 4-2 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
2
Boyle
Koivu
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
2
0
Boyle
Koivu
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Boyle
1
0
Boyle
Koivu
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (667)
50.7% (1,073)
-1.4%
Power Play
55.6% (124)
65.3% (216)
-9.7%
Penalty Kill
53.7% (41)
43.4% (286)
+10.3%
On penalty kill, Boyle has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Boyle is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (558).
Boyle shoots left. Koivu is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (981).
Home / Away
Boyle
Koivu
Home
52.9% (391)
50.9% (752)
Away
48.3% (441)
51.8% (823)
By Period
Boyle
Koivu
P1
48.9%
51.9%
P2
50.6%
50.3%
P3
51.2%
51.4%
OT
100.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
50.5%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2017 | 3 | 18:05 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 20, 2017 | 3 | 13:21 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 20, 2017 | 3 | 12:34 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 20, 2017 | 1 | 19:53 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 20, 2017 | 1 | 18:32 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 20, 2017 | 1 | 15:42 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |