Scouting Report
Brian Boyle holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 50.9% vs Foligno 48.5% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 81.5%
Defensive zone
Boyle 62.7%
Neutral zone
Foligno 61.4%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 70.4%
29.6%
70.4%
Boyle
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Boyle
Foligno
Last 8: Boyle 2-6 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
5
Boyle
Foligno
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Boyle
Foligno
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (5,426)
48.3% (2,764)
+3.4%
Power Play
54.6% (597)
52.3% (723)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,301)
43.4% (447)
+2.8%
On even strength, Boyle has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Boyle is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Boyle shoots left. Foligno is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,467).
Home / Away
Boyle
Foligno
Home
52.2% (3,521)
49.8% (1,993)
Away
49.8% (3,828)
47.1% (1,943)
By Period
Boyle
Foligno
P1
51.3%
47.9%
P2
51.1%
50.0%
P3
50.4%
48.4%
OT
55.3%
29.7%
Final 5 min
50.5%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
51.0%
Foligno
40.0%▼
51.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2018 | 3 | 05:34 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 1 | 12:21 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 8, 2017 | 2 | 11:32 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 1 | 11:55 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 24, 2011 | 2 | 06:32 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 9, 2010 | 3 | 05:19 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 9, 2010 | 1 | 05:45 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Dec 9, 2010 | 1 | 05:30 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |