Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 50.9%). Boyle wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Marleau shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 50.6% vs Marleau 50.7% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Marleau 66.9%
Defensive zone
Marleau 50.8%
Neutral zone
Marleau 51.6%
Result
Patrick Marleau favored at 57.5%
42.5%
57.5%
Boyle
Marleau
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Boyle
Marleau
Last 5: Boyle 4-1 Marleau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
2
0
Boyle
Marleau
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Marleau
0
1
Boyle
Marleau
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Boyle
2
0
Boyle
Marleau
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Marleau
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (517)
49.0% (437)
+3.6%
Power Play
54.3% (35)
70.6% (34)
-16.3%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (130)
53.7% (54)
-11.4%
On power play, Marleau has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marleau shoots left. Boyle is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (383).
Boyle shoots left. Marleau is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (330).
Home / Away
Boyle
Marleau
Home
52.4% (315)
55.1% (234)
Away
49.3% (367)
47.4% (291)
By Period
Boyle
Marleau
P1
51.1%
56.3%
P2
52.6%
48.5%
P3
48.3%
46.5%
OT
100.0%
83.3%
Final 5 min
54.5%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
50.7%
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2016 | 2 | 02:33 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 2 | 09:02 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 2 | 08:50 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 2 | 05:30 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 1 | 14:07 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |