Scouting Report
Brian Boyle holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 51.6% vs Carter 49.8% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 68.5%
Defensive zone
Boyle 67.8%
Neutral zone
Carter 54.5%
Result
Ryan Carter favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Boyle
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Boyle
Carter
Last 10: Boyle 3-7 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
2
Boyle
Carter
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
2
Boyle
Carter
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
2
4
Boyle
Carter
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (931)
49.7% (390)
+2.8%
Power Play
56.3% (64)
57.1% (7)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (209)
48.5% (33)
-2.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots left. Boyle is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (784).
Boyle shoots left. Carter is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (292).
Home / Away
Boyle
Carter
Home
54.3% (595)
51.5% (171)
Away
49.4% (620)
48.7% (261)
By Period
Boyle
Carter
P1
54.2%
50.7%
P2
50.0%
48.4%
P3
51.3%
50.4%
Final 5 min
51.7%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
51.8%
Carter
50.0%▲
47.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2012 | 3 | 18:19 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 3 | 18:07 | Neutral | Ryan Carter |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 2 | 07:20 | Defensive | Ryan Carter |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 2 | 02:04 | Defensive | Ryan Carter |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 1 | 12:01 | Offensive | Ryan Carter |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 1 | 10:30 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 3 | 02:21 | Offensive | Ryan Carter |
| Dec 20, 2011 | 3 | 19:56 | Neutral | Ryan Carter |
| Dec 20, 2011 | 3 | 04:45 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Dec 20, 2011 | 2 | 14:36 | Neutral | Ryan Carter |
| Dec 20, 2011 | 1 | 09:14 | Neutral | Ryan Carter |